In Rodanthe, N.C., seven homes have been lost to the ocean in the last four years, as rising sea levels erode shorelines and put more buildings at risk.

Arsenal eased to a 2-0 win at home to Wolverhampton Wanderers, with goals by Kai Havertz and Bukayo Saka getting their latest Premier League title challenge up and running on Saturday.

Five-star OT David Sanders, the top uncommitted prospect in the 2025 class, committed to Tennessee, landing with the Volunteers as the top-ranked prospect in the program's rising 2025 recruiting class and the highest-rated pledge of the Josh Heupel era.

Mikel Merino's proposed transfer to Arsenal moved a step closer on Saturday after he was left out of Real Sociedad's squad for their opening LaLiga match.

Ilkay Gündoğan has been ruled out of Barcelona's LaLiga opener at Valencia on Saturday to add to the Catalan side's injury problems ahead of the new season.

After the bloodletting, Democrats are parading to their convention.

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 17 Aug 2024 20:48:03 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 17 Aug 2024 21:22:57 GMT

Cowboys defensive tackle Mazi Smith is continuing to recover from an allergic reaction and is not traveling to Las Vegas for Saturday's preseason game against the Raiders.

Caitlin Clark started fast and finished with 29 points and 10 assists while Kelsey Mitchell scored 28 points to help the Fever fend off a furious second-half rally from the Mercury for a critical 98-89 victory.

Tom Brady, speaking on a panel at Fanatics Fest, drew more than a few laughs from the crowd when he pulled Giants quarterback Daniel Jones' name out of the blue when discussing a hypothetical interception.

Issued at 500 PM AST Sat Aug 17 2024 000 WTNT45 KNHC 172032 TCDAT5 Hurricane Ernesto Discussion Number 25 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052024 500 PM AST Sat Aug 17 2024 Recent infrared and microwave imagery indicate show that Ernesto's convective activity is a little thin, with the deepest convection located in a small band just north of the center. Subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates have decreased through the day, and combined with the earlier data from the Hurricane Hunter aircraft--which only measured 700-mb wind of 74 kt--it is estimated that Ernesto's maximum sustained winds are near 65 kt. Ernesto has slowed down during the day while moving away from Bermuda, and the initial motion is north-northeastward (030 degrees) at 5 kt. This slow motion is likely to continue for the next 12 hours or so, before the flow increases ahead of an approaching trough and causes Ernesto to accelerate toward the north-northeast on Sunday. The cyclone is forecast to turn northeastward on Monday, and model guidance continues to show the center passing just to the southeast of Newfoundland late Monday or Monday night. After passing Newfoundland, Ernesto is expected to accelerate further toward the east-northeast over the north Atlantic. The track guidance is very tightly packed through 72 hours, and no significant changes were required from the previous NHC forecast. Despite Ernesto's recent weakening, the hurricane will move over warm waters of 28 degrees Celsius and within a light-shear environment for the next 24 hours or so. The storm's current broad structure may not allow for significant strengthening within this otherwise favorable environment, but many of the dynamical hurricane models, global models, and consensus aids suggest that Ernesto could re-intensity by 5-10 kt over the next day or so. This is reflected in the official intensity forecast. Weakening should begin by 48 hours due increasing shear and Ernesto moving over colder waters north of the Gulf Stream, and the cyclone is likely to become post-tropical by 60 hours while it is passing near southeastern Newfoundland. The GFS and ECMWF models indicate that dissipation should occur by day 4 when the circulation opens up into a trough over the north Atlantic. Key Messages: 1. Ernesto is moving slowly, and its impacts on Bermuda are not over. Strong winds, heavy rainfall, coastal flooding, and battering waves should continue through tonight. The heavy rains will likely result in considerable life-threatening flash flooding, especially in low-lying areas on the island. 2. Even though Ernesto is forecast to remain well offshore the U.S. East Coast, swells generated by the hurricane are expected to affect the area through early next week. Beach goers should be aware that there is a significant risk of life-threatening surf and rip currents, and should stay out of the water if advised by lifeguards. Surf and rip currents are also possible on the Bahamas, Bermuda, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. 3. Ernesto could bring wind, wave, and rain impacts to portions of southeastern Newfoundland late Monday and Monday night. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 17/2100Z 33.3N 64.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 12H 18/0600Z 34.3N 63.6W 65 KT 75 MPH 24H 18/1800Z 36.5N 62.6W 70 KT 80 MPH 36H 19/0600Z 39.5N 60.9W 70 KT 80 MPH 48H 19/1800Z 43.0N 57.2W 65 KT 75 MPH 60H 20/0600Z 46.4N 50.9W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 20/1800Z 48.9N 42.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT AUG 17 2024 000 FONT15 KNHC 172032 PWSAT5 HURRICANE ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024 2100 UTC SAT AUG 17 2024 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 50(50) X(50) X(50) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 41(45) X(45) X(45) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) X(16) X(16) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 22(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BERMUDA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BERMUDA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BERMUDA 64 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BERG

...ERNESTO INCHING AWAY FROM BERMUDA BUT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CONTINUE ON THE ISLAND... ...DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS EXPECTED ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK... As of 5:00 PM AST Sat Aug 17 the center of Ernesto was located near 33.3, -64.0 with movement NNE at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 976 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.

Issued at 500 PM AST Sat Aug 17 2024 000 WTNT35 KNHC 172031 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Ernesto Advisory Number 25 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052024 500 PM AST Sat Aug 17 2024 ...ERNESTO INCHING AWAY FROM BERMUDA BUT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CONTINUE ON THE ISLAND... ...DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS EXPECTED ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.3N 64.0W ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM NE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 1090 MI...1750 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Interests in southeastern Newfoundland should monitor the progress of Ernesto. A watch may be required for a portion of this area Sunday morning. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ernesto was located near latitude 33.3 North, longitude 64.0 West. Ernesto is moving toward the north-northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this slow motion is expected to continue through tonight. An acceleration toward the north-northeast is forecast to begin on Sunday, with a turn toward the northeast and east-northeast occurring on Monday and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Ernesto will slowly move away from Bermuda through tonight and pass near southeastern Newfoundland late Monday and Monday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. No significant change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Ernesto should remain near or at hurricane strength through Monday. The cyclone will likely become post-tropical near southeastern Newfoundland by Monday night or Tuesday morning. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Ernesto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are likely to continue on Bermuda through tonight, with hurricane-force gusts possible in rainbands. STORM SURGE: Coastal flooding is still possible on Bermuda in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Ernesto is expected to produce an additional 1 to 2 inches (25 to 50 mm) of rainfall through tonight across Bermuda, with storm total amounts of 7 to 9 inches (175 to 225 mm). This rainfall will likely result in considerable life-threatening flash flooding to the island, especially in low-lying areas. SURF: Swells generated by Ernesto are affecting portions of the Bahamas, Bermuda, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada today. Life-threatening surf and rip current conditions are likely in these areas during the next couple of days. Please consult products from your local weather office, and stay out of the water if advised by lifeguards. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT AUG 17 2024 000 WTNT25 KNHC 172031 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024 2100 UTC SAT AUG 17 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 64.0W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 80SW 120NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 120SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..315NE 305SE 270SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 64.0W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 64.2W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 34.3N 63.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 120SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 36.5N 62.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 39.5N 60.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 43.0N 57.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 35SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 140SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 46.4N 50.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT...130NE 180SE 170SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 48.9N 42.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 190SE 170SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.3N 64.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 18/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

Paris Saint-Germain have completed the signing of Rennes starlet Désiré Doué in a deal worth $50 million ($54.9m), the French club announced on Saturday.

From the major networks to cable news to public television, there are many options for tuning in to the speeches by Vice President Kamala Harris, Gov. Tim Walz and others.

Long Island is an increasingly Republican stronghold, but Democrats believe they have a chance to win key House races there this year.