Issued at 800 AM EDT Tue Aug 06 2024 000 WTNT34 KNHC 061158 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Debby Intermediate Advisory Number 16A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042024 800 AM EDT Tue Aug 06 2024 ...DEBBY EXPECTED TO MOVE OFFSHORE OF THE GEORGIA COAST LATER TODAY... ...MAJOR FLOOD THREAT OVER PORTIONS OF GEORGIA, SOUTH CAROLINA, AND NORTH CAROLINA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.9N 81.3W ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM SW OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM SW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning south of Altamaha Sound is discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Altamaha Sound, Georgia to South Santee River, South Carolina A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * North of South Santee River, South Carolina to Cape Fear, North Carolina A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Altamaha Sound, Georgia to Little River Inlet, South Carolina A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of Little River Inlet, South Carolina to Surf City, North Carolina A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere along the southeastern coast of the United States should monitor the progress of this system. Additional watches or warnings may be required later today. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Debby was located inland over southeastern Georgia near latitude 31.9 North, longitude 81.3 West. Debby is moving toward the northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h). A slow motion toward the east and then north is expected through Thursday night. On the forecast track, the center of Debby is expected to move offshore the coast of Georgia later today, drift offshore through early Thursday, and then move inland over South Carolina on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast on Wednesday and Thursday while Debby drifts offshore. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) to the east of the center. Sustained winds of 39 mph (63 km/h) and a gust to 48 mph (78 km/h) were recently reported at Winyah Bay Light near Georgetown, South Carolina. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Debby can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected over portions of the tropical storm warning area along the Georgia coast through this morning. Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue along the coast of South Carolina within the tropical storm warning area through Thursday night. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area in North Carolina beginning Wednesday night. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Altamaha Sound, GA to Cape Fear, NC...2-4 ft For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?peakSurge. RAINFALL: Debby is expected to produce potentially historic rainfall totals of 10 to 20 inches, with maximum amounts of 25 inches, bringing areas of catastrophic flooding across portions of southeast Georgia, the eastern half of South Carolina, and southeast North Carolina through Friday. From northern North Carolina through portions of the Mid-Atlantic States, 4 to 8 inches of rainfall, with local amounts to 12 inches, are expected through Sunday morning. This rainfall will likely result in areas of considerable flash and urban flooding, with river flooding possible. An additional scattered 1 to 2 inches of rainfall, with maximum amounts of 4 inches is possible across western portion of the Central Florida Peninsula today which may aggravate any ongoing flooding conditions across that vicinity. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Debby, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero. For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS4 with the WMO header ACUS44 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc4.html. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible over coastal South Carolina tonight through early Wednesday morning. SURF: Swells generated by Debby are expected to affect much of the Gulf coast of Florida through tonight. Swells will continue to affect the Southeast U.S. coast through the end of the week. These conditions are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

000
ABNT20 KNHC 061106
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 6 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Debby, located near the Georgia coastline.

Western Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
over the east-central Caribbean Sea have changed little this
morning. Any development of this system should be slow to occur
during the next couple of days while it moves westward over the
central Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions are expected to
become more conducive for development later this week as the system
moves across the western Caribbean Sea or the southern Gulf of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hogsett

Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Tue, 06 Aug 2024 10:02:10 GMT

Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics last updated Tue, 06 Aug 2024 09:41:41 GMT

Issued at 500 AM EDT Tue Aug 06 2024 383 WTNT44 KNHC 060851 TCDAT4 Tropical Storm Debby Discussion Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042024 500 AM EDT Tue Aug 06 2024 Debby's center is just inland of the Georgia coast while most of the deep convection is oriented in a couple of bands over the Atlantic waters feeding northwestward into South Carolina. Scatterometer data from late last evening indicated that the tropical-storm-force wind field had expanded eastward over the Atlantic waters, and that the maximum sustained winds were near 40 kt. This was confirmed by a few observations of 35-40 kt sustained winds along the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina. The initial intensity is therefore held at 40 kt. Debby continues to move northeastward, or 050/6 kt, but the storm will be trapped in a weak steering regime for the next couple of days. The center is likely to move offshore the Georgia coast later today, but then meander off the coast of South Carolina through early Thursday. After that time, a strengthening ridge over the western Atlantic and an approaching mid-latitude trough over the upper Midwest should cause Debby to move faster toward the north across the Carolinas and then into the Mid-Atlantic region late this week. The updated NHC track forecast is a bit west of the previous forecast starting at about 48 hours, trending in the direction of the HCCA and TVCA consensus aids. Little change in Debby's intensity is expected today and tonight as the center moves offshore. However, some strengthening is forecast beginning on Wednesday due to the storm being in a low-shear environment and over very warm waters of about 29 degrees Celsius. The NHC intensity forecast continues to show a peak intensity of 50 kt in 48 hours, just before the center reaches the coast again, which is near the top end of the guidance. Weakening is expected to begin in 60 hours once the center moves inland. The cyclone is likely to merge with a front over the eastern United States in 4 to 5 days. Key Messages: 1. Potentially historic heavy rainfall across southeast Georgia and eastern South Carolina through Friday will likely result in areas of catastrophic flooding. Heavy rainfall will likely result in flooding impacts from northern North Carolina through portions of Mid-Atlantic States and southern New England through Sunday morning. 2. Dangerous storm surge and tropical storm conditions will spread northward along the southeast U.S. coast from northeastern Florida to North Carolina through the middle of the week. Storm surge and tropical storm watches and warnings have been issued for portions of these areas. Residents in the storm surge watch and warning area should follow any advice given by local officials. 3. In portions of Florida where Debby has passed, deadly hazards remain, including downed power lines and flooded areas. Ensure generators are properly ventilated to avoid carbon monoxide poisoning. Exercise caution when using chainsaws and power tools, and drink plenty of water to avoid heat exhaustion. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/0900Z 31.6N 81.6W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 12H 06/1800Z 31.6N 81.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...OVER WATER 24H 07/0600Z 31.7N 79.9W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 07/1800Z 31.9N 79.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 08/0600Z 32.3N 79.5W 50 KT 60 MPH 60H 08/1800Z 33.1N 79.9W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND 72H 09/0600Z 34.1N 80.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 96H 10/0600Z 38.5N 77.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 120H 11/0600Z 43.4N 67.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Berg

...DEBBY'S CENTER EXPECTED TO MOVE OFFSHORE THE GEORGIA COAST LATER TODAY... ...SIGNIFICANT RISK OF FLASH FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF GEORGIA, SOUTH CAROLINA, AND NORTH CAROLINA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS... As of 5:00 AM EDT Tue Aug 6 the center of Debby was located near 31.6, -81.6 with movement NE at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 999 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

Issued at 500 AM EDT Tue Aug 06 2024 000 WTNT34 KNHC 060851 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Debby Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042024 500 AM EDT Tue Aug 06 2024 ...DEBBY'S CENTER EXPECTED TO MOVE OFFSHORE THE GEORGIA COAST LATER TODAY... ...SIGNIFICANT RISK OF FLASH FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF GEORGIA, SOUTH CAROLINA, AND NORTH CAROLINA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.6N 81.6W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SW OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Watch along the coast of North Carolina has been extended northward to Surf City. The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued from the Mouth of the St. Mary's River to Altamaha Sound, Georgia. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Altamaha Sound, Georgia to South Santee River, South Carolina A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * North of South Santee River, South Carolina to Cape Fear, North Carolina A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida to Little River Inlet, South Carolina A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of Little River Inlet, South Carolina to Surf City, North Carolina A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere along the southeastern coast of the United States should monitor the progress of this system. Additional watches or warnings may be required later today. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Debby was located inland over southeastern Georgia near latitude 31.6 North, longitude 81.6 West. Debby is moving toward the northeast near 7 mph (11 km/h). A slower motion toward the east and then north is expected through Thursday night. On the forecast track, the center of Debby is expected to move offshore the coast of Georgia later today, drift offshore through early Thursday, and then move inland over South Carolina on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast on Wednesday and Thursday while Debby drifts offshore. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) to the east of the center. A weather station on Folly Beach, South Carolina, recently reported a sustained wind of 41 mph (67 km/h) and a gust to 53 mph (85 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Debby can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected over portions of the tropical storm warning area along the northeastern Florida and Georgia coasts through this morning. Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue along the coast of South Carolina within the tropical storm warning area through Thursday night. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area in North Carolina beginning Wednesday night. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Altamaha Sound, GA to Cape Fear, NC...2-4 ft For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?peakSurge. RAINFALL: Debby is expected to produce potentially historic rainfall totals of 10 to 20 inches, with maximum amounts of 25 inches, bringing areas of catastrophic flooding across portions of southeast Georgia, the eastern half of South Carolina, and southeast North Carolina through Friday. From northern North Carolina through portions of the Mid-Atlantic States, 4 to 8 inches of rainfall, with local amounts to 12 inches, are expected through Sunday morning. This rainfall will likely result in areas of considerable flash and urban flooding, with river flooding possible. An additional scattered 1 to 2 inches of rainfall, with maximum amounts of 4 inches is possible across western portion of the Central Florida Peninsula today which may aggravate any ongoing flooding conditions across that vicinity. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Debby, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero. For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS4 with the WMO header ACUS44 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc4.html. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible over coastal South Carolina tonight through early Wednesday morning. SURF: Swells generated by Debby are expected to affect much of the Gulf coast of Florida through tonight. Swells will continue to affect the Southeast U.S. coast through the end of the week. These conditions are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Berg

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 06 2024 000 FONT14 KNHC 060851 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042024 0900 UTC TUE AUG 06 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 2(12) X(12) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 2(14) X(14) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) NEW RIVER NC 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) 6(17) 2(19) X(19) MOREHEAD CITY 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 7(12) 6(18) 2(20) X(20) SURF CITY NC 34 1 2( 3) 7(10) 11(21) 9(30) 2(32) X(32) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) 7(17) 1(18) X(18) BALD HEAD ISL 34 4 4( 8) 12(20) 17(37) 9(46) 1(47) X(47) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FLORENCE SC 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 6( 9) 14(23) 1(24) X(24) COLUMBIA SC 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 11(15) X(15) 1(16) LITTLE RIVER 34 5 5(10) 12(22) 19(41) 11(52) 1(53) X(53) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) X(10) MYRTLE BEACH 34 7 7(14) 14(28) 17(45) 11(56) 1(57) X(57) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GEORGETOWN SC 34 11 7(18) 8(26) 13(39) 8(47) X(47) X(47) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHARLESTON SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHARLESTON SC 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 7(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 2 1( 3) 1( 4) 5( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) AUGUSTA GA 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) X(10) SAVANNAH GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAVANNAH GA 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KINGS BAY GA 34 76 1(77) 1(78) 1(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) KINGS BAY GA 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WAYCROSS GA 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MAYPORT NS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) JACKSONVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) DAYTONA BEACH 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COCOA BEACH FL 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PATRICK AFB 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FT PIERCE FL 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) TAMPA FL 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CEDAR KEY FL 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) MACON GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE AUG 06 2024 000 WTNT24 KNHC 060850 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042024 0900 UTC TUE AUG 06 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 81.6W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......180NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 81.6W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 81.9W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 31.6N 81.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 31.7N 79.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 31.9N 79.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 32.3N 79.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 33.1N 79.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 110SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 34.1N 80.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 38.5N 77.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 43.4N 67.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.6N 81.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 06/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 06 Aug 2024 05:49:57 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 06 Aug 2024 03:22:57 GMT

000
ABNT20 KNHC 060544
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Aug 6 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Debby, center inland over southeastern Georgia.

Western Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
over the eastern Caribbean Sea remain disorganized. Any development
of this system should be slow to occur during the next couple of
days while it moves westward over the eastern and central Caribbean
Sea. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive
for development later this week as the system moves across the
western Caribbean Sea or the southern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci

...CENTER OF DEBBY OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA, GETTING CLOSER TO THE COAST... ...MAJOR FLOOD THREAT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS... As of 2:00 AM EDT Tue Aug 6 the center of Debby was located near 31.2, -81.9 with movement NE at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 998 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

Issued at 200 AM EDT Tue Aug 06 2024 000 WTNT34 KNHC 060543 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Debby Intermediate Advisory Number 15A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042024 200 AM EDT Tue Aug 06 2024 ...CENTER OF DEBBY OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA, GETTING CLOSER TO THE COAST... ...MAJOR FLOOD THREAT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.2N 81.9W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM W OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM N OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Georgia and South Carolina coast from the Mouth of the St. Mary's River to South Santee River South Carolina A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * South Carolina and North Carolina coast from north of South Santee River to Cape Fear, North Carolina A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida to Little River Inlet, South Carolina A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of Little River Inlet to Cape Fear, North Carolina A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. Interests elsewhere along the southeastern coast of the United States should monitor the progress of this system. Additional watches and warnings may be required later today. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Debby was located near latitude 31.2 North, longitude 81.9 West. Debby is moving toward the northeast near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the east is expected today, followed by a turn to the north at a slow forward speed on Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center will move across southeastern Georgia this morning, and then off the Georgia coast later today and on Wednesday, and approach the South Carolina coast on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight weakening is possible today. Some re-strengthening is possible on Wednesday and Thursday when Debby is off the southeastern U.S. coast. Recent satellite-derived wind data and surface observations indicate that tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 200 miles (320 km) east of the center. A weather station on Tybee Island, Georgia, recently reported a sustained wind of 43 mph (69 km/h) and a gust to 54 mph (87 km/h). A station on Folly Island, South Carolina, recently reported a sustained wind of 41 mph (67 km/h) and a gust to 52 mph (83 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Debby can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected over portions of the tropical storm warning area along the Florida and Georgia Atlantic coast through this morning. Tropical storm conditions are expected along the coast of South Carolina within the tropical storm warning area by this morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area in North Carolina beginning Wednesday night. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Mouth of the St. Mary's River to Cape Fear, NC...2-4 ft For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?peakSurge. RAINFALL: Debby is expected to produce potentially historic rainfall totals of 10 to 20 inches, with maximum amounts of 30 inches, bringing areas of catastrophic flooding across portions of eastern Georgia, the coastal plain of South Carolina, and southeast North Carolina through Wednesday. Across portions of central and northeast North Carolina, 6 to 12 inches of rainfall, with local amounts to 18 inches, are expected through Saturday morning. This rainfall will likely result in areas of considerable flash and urban flooding, with significant river flooding expected. An additional scattered 1 to 2 inches of rainfall, with maximum amounts of 4 inches is possible across western portions of the Central Florida Peninsula which may aggravate any ongoing flooding conditions across that area. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Debby, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero. For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS4 with the WMO header ACUS44 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc4.html. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible over southeastern Georgia and coastal South Carolina tonight through today. SURF: Swells generated by Debby are expected to affect much of the Gulf coast of Florida through tonight. Swells will continue to affect the Southeast U.S. coast through the middle of the week. These conditions are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Berg

Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Tue, 06 Aug 2024 03:58:00 GMT

Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics last updated Tue, 06 Aug 2024 03:41:36 GMT

Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Tue, 06 Aug 2024 02:41:02 GMT

Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Tue, 06 Aug 2024 02:41:02 GMT

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 06 Aug 2024 02:40:37 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 06 Aug 2024 03:22:57 GMT

Issued at 1100 PM EDT Mon Aug 05 2024 000 WTNT44 KNHC 060239 TCDAT4 Tropical Storm Debby Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042024 1100 PM EDT Mon Aug 05 2024 The center of Debby has continued to move northeastward over southeastern Georgia this evening. Earlier in the evening, there were a few reports of sustained winds of 34-36 kt along portions of the Georgia coast, which supported the 40-kt intensity on the intermediate advisory at 0000 UTC. Although there have not been reports that high in the past hour or two, the initial intensity is maintained at 40 kt as the strongest winds are likely occuring in bands offshore. The initial motion estimate is 050/5 kt. The steering currents are forecast to weaken further over the next couple of days, and a slow eastward motion should begin on Tuesday when Debby is near the Georgia coast. An even slower northward motion is expected on Wednesday, which should bring the center toward the coast of South Carolina Wednesday night or Thursday. Toward the end of the week, most of the track guidance suggests that Debby may begin to move a little faster toward the north in southerly flow between a building ridge over the western Atlantic and a mid-level trough over the Great Lakes and southern Canada. Although there is still low confidence in the specifics of the track forecast, there is high confidence that Debby will be meandering near the southeastern U.S. coast for the next few days. The latest NHC track forecast is similar to the HFIP corrected consensus model (HCCA) through 72 hours and lies between that model and the simple multi-model consensus (TVCA) at the longer range. Debby is likely to weaken a little more while it moves over land through early Tuesday. After that, the center is forecast to move offshore, which should allow for some gradual re-intensification. The NHC intensity forecast follows the bulk of the guidance and shows only modest strengthening before the center moves back onshore. Given the sluggish forward motion of Debby, extremely large rainfall amounts are expected over portions of the Southeastern United States. Key Messages: 1. Potentially historic heavy rainfall across southeast Georgia and the coastal plain of South Carolina through Saturday morning will likely result in areas of catastrophic flooding. Heavy rainfall will likely result in considerable flooding impacts for portions of central and northern Florida and across portions of central and northeast North Carolina through Saturday morning. 2. Dangerous storm surge and tropical storm conditions will spread northward along the southeast U.S. coast from northeastern Florida to North Carolina through the middle of the week. Storm surge and tropical storm watches and warnings have been issued for portions of these areas. Residents in the storm surge watch and warning area should follow any advice given by local officials. 3. In portions of Florida where Debby has passed, deadly hazards remain, including downed power lines and flooded areas. Ensure generators are properly ventilated to avoid carbon monoxide poisoning. Exercise caution when using chainsaws and power tools, and drink plenty of water to avoid heat exhaustion. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/0300Z 31.1N 82.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 12H 06/1200Z 31.6N 81.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 24H 07/0000Z 31.8N 80.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...OVER WATER 36H 07/1200Z 31.9N 79.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 08/0000Z 32.4N 79.1W 45 KT 50 MPH 60H 08/1200Z 33.0N 79.1W 50 KT 60 MPH 72H 09/0000Z 33.8N 79.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 96H 10/0000Z 36.3N 78.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 120H 11/0000Z 40.2N 73.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Brown

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE AUG 06 2024 000 FONT14 KNHC 060238 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042024 0300 UTC TUE AUG 06 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 4(12) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 2(12) 2(14) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 11(18) 1(19) 2(21) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 12(19) 2(21) 1(22) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) SURF CITY NC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) 17(29) 2(31) 1(32) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 1(17) 1(18) BALD HEAD ISL 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 16(21) 18(39) 2(41) X(41) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FLORENCE SC 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 8(11) 2(13) X(13) COLUMBIA SC 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) LITTLE RIVER 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 15(22) 19(41) 2(43) X(43) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) 1(10) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MYRTLE BEACH 34 2 2( 4) 5( 9) 16(25) 17(42) 2(44) X(44) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) 1(10) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GEORGETOWN SC 34 1 1( 2) 4( 6) 10(16) 9(25) 1(26) X(26) CHARLESTON SC 34 6 9(15) 9(24) 8(32) 10(42) 1(43) X(43) CHARLESTON SC 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 22 8(30) 6(36) 3(39) 5(44) 1(45) 1(46) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) AUGUSTA GA 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) SAVANNAH GA 34 59 2(61) 1(62) X(62) 1(63) 1(64) X(64) KINGS BAY GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WAYCROSS GA 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MAYPORT NS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) JACKSONVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) COCOA BEACH FL 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PATRICK AFB 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FT PIERCE FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BROWN