5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 19 Aug 2024 14:49:32 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 19 Aug 2024 15:22:57 GMT

Lille midfielder Angel Gomes took to social media to reassure fans that he is OK after being hospitalised following a head injury during Saturday's Ligue 1 match against Stade de Reims.

Issued at 1100 AM AST Mon Aug 19 2024 000 WTNT45 KNHC 191448 TCDAT5 Hurricane Ernesto Discussion Number 32 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052024 1100 AM AST Mon Aug 19 2024 Ernesto continues to slowly gain strength. Satellite images indicate that the eye of the hurricane has become a little better defined, but the storm still has a convective asymmetry with the strongest thunderstorms on the north side. The latest Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB were 4.5/77 kt and the objective satellite guidance is a little higher. Based on the data and the improved structure, the initial wind speed is increased to 80 kt. A very recent ASCAT pass indicated that Ernesto remains a large tropical cyclone. The strongest winds and largest radius of hurricane and tropical-storm-force winds are located in the southeastern quadrant. The hurricane is gradually accelerating to the north-northeast, or 30 degrees at 19 kt. The strong flow between an approaching mid- to upper-level trough over the eastern U.S. and a ridge over the subtropical central Atlantic should cause the cyclone to accelerate even more and turn to the northeast and east-northeast during the next couple of days. The NHC track forecast is similar to the previous one and near the middle of the guidance envelope. Ernesto is now crossing the north wall of the Gulf Stream, and will soon be moving over sharply cooler SSTs. In addition, the hurricane will be moving into an environment of stronger shear and drier air. All of these conditions should lead to weakening very soon and extratropical transition, which is expected to be complete by early Tuesday. The NHC intensity forecast is similar to the previous one, and follows the GFS guidance during the extratropical phase. Key Messages: 1. Swells generated by Ernesto will continue to affect the coasts of Bermuda, the northeast U.S., and Atlantic Canada during the next day or so. Beach goers should be aware that there is a significant risk of life-threatening surf and rip currents, and should stay out of the water if advised by lifeguards. 2. Ernesto will likely bring some wind, wave, and rain impacts to portions of southeastern Newfoundland tonight into Tuesday morning. Breaking waves could bring the possibility of coastal flooding, particularly along southwest-facing shorelines from Bunin east to Avalon regions. For additional impact specific information, please see statements issued by the Canadian Hurricane Centre. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/1500Z 41.8N 58.5W 80 KT 90 MPH 12H 20/0000Z 44.5N 54.6W 70 KT 80 MPH 24H 20/1200Z 47.7N 46.7W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 21/0000Z 49.9N 36.2W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 21/1200Z 52.2N 24.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Nepaul

Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 19 2024 715 FONT15 KNHC 191447 PWSAT5 HURRICANE ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024 1500 UTC MON AUG 19 2024 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 1 93(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X 48(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 34 23(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) ILE ST PIERRE 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BURGEO NFLD 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SYDNEY NS 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 19 2024 164 WTNT25 KNHC 191447 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024 1500 UTC MON AUG 19 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.8N 58.5W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 24 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......160NE 190SE 110SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..260NE 270SE 240SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.8N 58.5W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.9N 59.6W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 44.5N 54.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 35SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 140SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 47.7N 46.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT...130NE 180SE 150SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 49.9N 36.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 170SE 170SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 52.2N 24.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 170SE 170SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.8N 58.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

...ERNESTO STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE... ...DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS CONTINUING ALONG THE NORTHEAST U.S. COAST AND ATLANTIC CANADA... As of 11:00 AM AST Mon Aug 19 the center of Ernesto was located near 41.8, -58.5 with movement NE at 28 mph. The minimum central pressure was 968 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 90 mph.

Issued at 1100 AM AST Mon Aug 19 2024 394 WTNT35 KNHC 191447 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Ernesto Advisory Number 32 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052024 1100 AM AST Mon Aug 19 2024 ...ERNESTO STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE... ...DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS CONTINUING ALONG THE NORTHEAST U.S. COAST AND ATLANTIC CANADA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...41.8N 58.5W ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM SE OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA ABOUT 430 MI...695 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in southeastern Newfoundland should monitor the progress of Ernesto. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ernesto was located near latitude 41.8 North, longitude 58.5 West. Ernesto is moving toward the northeast near 28 mph (44 km/h). A turn toward the northeast and east-northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Ernesto will pass near southeastern Newfoundland tonight and early Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Ernesto is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone by early Tuesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 220 miles (350 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Ernesto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml. SURF: Swells generated by Ernesto are affecting Bermuda, the northeast coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. Life-threatening surf and rip current conditions are likely to continue in these areas during the next day or so. In southeastern Newfoundland large breaking waves could bring the possibility of coastal flooding, particularly along southwest-facing shorelines from Burin east to Avalon regions. Please consult products from your local weather office, and stay out of the water if advised by lifeguards. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Nepaul

In recent weeks, the vice president’s message has revolved around progressive patriotism.

One of the nation’s largest coal-fueled electric plants is being replaced with thousands of acres of solar panels and a test of long-duration batteries.

Steelers center Nate Herbig is expected to miss a significant amount of time with a torn rotator cuff, a source told ESPN.

Japan's Hideki Matsuyama survived a shaky back nine to win the opening leg of the PGA Tour's playoffs at the FedEx St. Jude Championship.

Playoff rematches, must-see reunions and plenty of superstar showdowns headline our games of the season.

Wrexham and Bolton Wanderers played out a hard-fought 0-0 draw at the Toughsheet Community Stadium on Sunday as both teams stayed unbeaten in League One.

With training camp in the rearview and the regular season approaching, let's examine where the Eagles stand.

Plus, a hospital system gets into show business.

000
ABNT20 KNHC 191132
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Aug 19 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ernesto, located over the western Atlantic a few hundred miles
south of Atlantic Canada.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Nepaul

Napoli's Serie A season kicked off in disastrous fashion on Sunday when they were overwhelmed 3-0 at Hellas Verona and lost star midfielder Khvicha Kvaratskhelia after he collided with an opposing player.