000
ABNT20 KNHC 231132
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

000
ABNT20 KNHC 230526
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Oct 23 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Beven

000
ABNT20 KNHC 222317
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 22 Oct 2024 17:58:24 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 22 Oct 2024 17:58:25 GMT

Issued at 200 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 000 WTNT41 KNHC 221757 TCDAT1 Remnants Of Oscar Special Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162024 200 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Based on earlier aircraft reconnaissance observations, more recent scatterometer data, high-resolution visible satellite images, and surface synoptic observations, Oscar has degenerated into a broad area of low pressure near the Bahamas. Therefore, this is the last advisory on this system. A new, but non-tropical, low pressure system will likely develop farther to the north-northeast in a day or so. This low is expected to absorb the remnants of Oscar. Further information on the remnants of Oscar and this new non-tropical system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/1800Z 23.0N 74.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 23/0000Z ..DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch

000
ABNT20 KNHC 221756
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued a special, final advisory
on the remnants of Oscar, located near the central and southeastern
Bahamas.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Torres-Vazquez

Issued at 1800 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 000 FONT11 KNHC 221756 PWSAT1 REMNANTS OF OSCAR SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024 1800 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 AT 1800Z THE REMNANTS OF OSCAR WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH ...LONGITUDE 74.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MAYAGUANA 34 11 X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) $$ FORECASTER PASCH

Issued at 200 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 000 WTNT31 KNHC 221755 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Remnants Of Oscar Special Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162024 200 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 ...OSCAR IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.0N 74.0W ABOUT 75 MI...115 KM ESE OF LONG ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of the Bahamas has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for the Southeastern Bahamas. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the remnants of Oscar were located near latitude 23.0 North, longitude 74.0 West. The remnants are moving toward the northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Pasch

Issued at 1800 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 000 WTNT21 KNHC 221755 TCMAT1 REMNANTS OF OSCAR SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024 1800 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 74.0W AT 22/1800Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 74.0W AT 22/1800Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 74.6W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 74.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER PASCH

...OSCAR IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 2:00 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 the center of Oscar was located near 23.0, -74.0 with movement NE at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Issued at 120 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 000 WTNT61 KNHC 221719 TCUAT1 Remnants of Oscar Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162024 120 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 ...OSCAR IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...LAST ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY... Earlier aircraft reconnaissance observations, recent satellite-derived wind data and satellite imagery indicate that Oscar no longer has a well-defined center of circulation and the maximum winds have decreased to below tropical storm strength. The government of the Bahamas has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for the Southeastern Bahamas. A special, final, advisory will be issued by 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC, in lieu of the intermediate advisory. SUMMARY OF 120 PM EDT...1720 UTC...INFORMATION --------------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.0N 74.0W ABOUT 75 MI...115 KM ESE OF LONG ISLAND BAHAMAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 040 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES $$ Forecaster Pasch

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 22 Oct 2024 14:57:13 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 22 Oct 2024 15:23:10 GMT

Issued at 1100 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 000 WTNT41 KNHC 221455 TCDAT1 Tropical Storm Oscar Discussion Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162024 1100 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft investigating Oscar has had difficulty locating a center this morning. Data from the plane and visible satellite images suggest that the circulation is becoming elongated. Also, the system may have weakened below tropical storm strength, but we will wait for an upcoming scatterometer pass that will provide a wider swath of wind data before downgrading it. Thus, for the moment, the intensity is being maintained at 35 kt. Nonetheless, since all of the stronger winds are occurring east of the center, the Tropical Storm Warning for the Central Bahamas is being discontinued. Given the poor definition of the center, the initial motion is an uncertain 040/10 kt. Oscar should accelerate northeastward along the eastern side of a mid- to upper-level trough during the next day or so. The official track forecast is a little faster than the previous NHC prediction in 24-36 hours. Within the next couple of days, the global models indicate that the trough will cause baroclinic cyclogenesis to occur near or north of Oscar. The resulting extratropical surface low is likely to absorb or merge with the tropical cyclone or its remnants. The atmospheric environment, consisting of strong shear and relatively dry air, is expected to remain hostile for the maintenance of a tropical cyclone, so no strengthening is anticipated. Indeed, it is possible that Oscar could dissipate before it interacts with the new extratropical cyclone. Key Messages: 1. Localized flash flooding will be possible today across the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands. With rainfall easing across Cuba, flooding from rainfall which has already occurred could remain a concern for the next several days. 2. Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the southeastern Bahamas today. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/1500Z 22.9N 74.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 23/0000Z 24.7N 72.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 23/1200Z 27.8N 70.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 36H 24/0000Z 31.5N 68.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 48H 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch

...OSCAR IS BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE... As of 11:00 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 the center of Oscar was located near 22.9, -74.1 with movement NE at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Issued at 1100 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 000 WTNT31 KNHC 221455 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Oscar Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162024 1100 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 ...OSCAR IS BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.9N 74.1W ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ESE OF LONG ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of the Bahamas has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for the Central Bahamas. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Southeastern Bahamas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Oscar was located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 74.1 West. Oscar is moving toward the northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h), and a faster northeastward motion is expected during the next day or two. On the forecast track, the center of Oscar will be moving away from the Bahamas later today or tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Oscar could dissipate later today, or merge with an extratropical low pressure system within the next couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Oscar can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in parts of the southeastern Bahamas today. RAINFALL: Across the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands, additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 4 inches are expected through today. This rainfall could cause localized flash flooding. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Oscar, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 000 FONT11 KNHC 221455 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM OSCAR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024 1500 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OSCAR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MAYAGUANA 34 26 X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) $$ FORECASTER PASCH

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 000 WTNT21 KNHC 221454 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OSCAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024 1500 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 74.1W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 74.1W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 74.6W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.7N 72.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 27.8N 70.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 31.5N 68.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 74.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 22/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 22 Oct 2024 11:58:43 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 22 Oct 2024 09:22:54 GMT

...OSCAR CONTINUES MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS... As of 8:00 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 the center of Oscar was located near 22.8, -74.7 with movement NE at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Issued at 800 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Oscar Intermediate Advisory Number 13A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162024 800 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 ...OSCAR CONTINUES MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.8N 74.7W ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM SE OF LONG ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Central Bahamas * Southeastern Bahamas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Oscar was located near latitude 22.8 North, longitude 74.7 West. Oscar is moving toward the northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h). A faster northeastward motion is expected later today and on Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Oscar is expected to move near the southeastern and central Bahamas today, then move away from the Bahamas tonight and Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the day today. Oscar is expected to become a post-tropical low by tonight or early Wednesday, and then be absorbed by another low pressure area by Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) east and northeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Oscar can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in parts of the central and southeastern Bahamas today. RAINFALL: Across the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands, rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches, with isolated amounts around 8 inches, are expected through today. This rainfall could cause localized flash flooding. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Oscar, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch NNNN