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5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 06 Aug 2024 17:53:43 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 06 Aug 2024 15:23:10 GMT

Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Tue, 06 Aug 2024 17:50:01 GMT

null

...DEBBY MOVING VERY SLOWLY NEAR THE COASTS OF GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA... ...DANGEROUS FLOOD THREAT OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES THIS WEEK... As of 2:00 PM EDT Tue Aug 6 the center of Debby was located near 32.0, -80.9 with movement ENE at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 999 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Issued at 200 PM EDT Tue Aug 06 2024 000 WTNT34 KNHC 061747 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Debby Intermediate Advisory Number 17A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042024 200 PM EDT Tue Aug 06 2024 ...DEBBY MOVING VERY SLOWLY NEAR THE COASTS OF GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA... ...DANGEROUS FLOOD THREAT OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES THIS WEEK... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.0N 80.9W ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM SE OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Storm Surge Warning south of the Savannah River is discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Savannah River, Georgia to South Santee River, South Carolina A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * North of South Santee River, South Carolina to Cape Fear, North Carolina A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Altamaha Sound, Georgia to Surf City, North Carolina A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of Surf City, North Carolina to Beaufort Inlet, North Carolina A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere along the southeastern coast of the United States should monitor the progress of this system. Additional watches or warnings may be required later today. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Debby was located near latitude 32.0 North, longitude 80.9 West. Debby is moving toward the east-northeast near 5 mph (7 km/h). A slow motion toward the east and then north is expected through Thursday night. On the forecast track, the center of Debby is expected to move offshore the coast of Georgia later today and tonight, continue to drift offshore through early Thursday, and then move inland over South Carolina on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast on Wednesday and Thursday while Debby drifts offshore. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Debby can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected over portions of the tropical storm warning area along the Georgia coast for the next few hours. Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue along the coast of South Carolina within the tropical storm warning area through Thursday night. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical storm warning area in North Carolina beginning early Wednesday. Tropical Storm conditions are possible within the Tropical Storm Watch area in North Carolina beginning Wednesday. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Savannah River, GA to Cape Fear, NC...2-4 ft For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?peakSurge. RAINFALL: Debby is expected to produce potentially historic rainfall totals of 10 to 20 inches, with maximum amounts of 25 inches, bringing areas of catastrophic flooding across portions of the eastern half of South Carolina, and southeast North Carolina through Friday. From northern North Carolina through portions of the Mid-Atlantic States, 4 to 8 inches of rainfall, with local amounts to 12 inches, are expected through Sunday morning. This rainfall will likely result in areas of considerable flash and urban flooding, with river flooding possible. An additional scattered 1 to 2 inches of rainfall, with maximum amounts of 4 inches is possible across western portion of the Central Florida Peninsula and southeast Georgia today which may aggravate any ongoing flooding conditions across that vicinity. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Debby, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero. For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS4 with the WMO header ACUS44 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc4.html. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible over coastal South Carolina and coastal southeast North Carolina today through Wednesday morning. SURF: Large swells will continue to affect the Southeast U.S. coast through the end of the week. These conditions are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

724
ABNT20 KNHC 061743
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Tue Aug 6 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Debby, located near the Georgia and South Carolina coastline.

Western Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
over the east-central Caribbean Sea have diminished in coverage and
intensity since this morning. Any development of this system should
be slow to occur during the next couple of days while it moves
westward over the central Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions
are expected to become more conducive for development later this
week as the system moves across the western Caribbean Sea or the
southern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hurley

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Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Tue, 06 Aug 2024 16:05:53 GMT