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Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Tue, 06 Aug 2024 20:45:02 GMT

...DEBBY CONTINUES TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY NEAR THE COASTS OF GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA... ...MAJOR FLOOD THREAT FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES THIS WEEK... As of 5:00 PM EDT Tue Aug 6 the center of Debby was located near 32.1, -80.8 with movement ENE at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 999 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Issued at 500 PM EDT Tue Aug 06 2024 000 WTNT34 KNHC 062044 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Debby Advisory Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042024 500 PM EDT Tue Aug 06 2024 ...DEBBY CONTINUES TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY NEAR THE COASTS OF GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA... ...MAJOR FLOOD THREAT FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES THIS WEEK... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.1N 80.8W ABOUT 10 MI...20 KM E OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SW OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Storm Surge Warning from Savannah River, Georgia to South Santee River, South Carolina is discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * North of South Santee River, South Carolina to Cape Fear, North Carolina A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Altamaha Sound, Georgia to Surf City, North Carolina A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of Surf City, North Carolina to Beaufort Inlet, North Carolina A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere along the southeastern coast of the United States should monitor the progress of this system. Additional watches or warnings may be required later today. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Debby was located near latitude 32.1 North, longitude 80.8 West. Debby is moving toward the east-northeast near 3 mph (6 km/h). A slow motion toward the east and then north is expected through Thursday night. On the forecast track, the center of Debby is expected to move offshore the coast of Georgia and South Carolina later today and tonight, continue to drift offshore through early Thursday, and then move inland over South Carolina on Thursday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast on Wednesday while Debby drifts offshore. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Debby can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected over portions of the tropical storm warning area along the Georgia coast for the next few hours. Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue along the coast of South Carolina within the tropical storm warning area through Thursday night. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical storm warning area in North Carolina beginning early Wednesday. Tropical Storm conditions are possible within the Tropical Storm Watch area in North Carolina beginning Wednesday. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... South Santee River, SC to Cape Fear, NC...2-4 ft For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?peakSurge. RAINFALL: Debby is expected to produce potentially historic rainfall totals of 10 to 20 inches, with maximum amounts of 25 inches, bringing areas of catastrophic flooding across portions of the eastern half of South Carolina, and southeast North Carolina through Friday. From central South Carolina to the Update of South Carolina, northward into Southwest Virginia, portions of the Mid-Atlantic States, western and northern New York State into Northern New England, 3 to 6 inches with local amounts to 8 inches, are expected through Saturday. This rainfall will likely result in areas of considerable flash and urban flooding, with river flooding possible. An additional scattered 1 to 3 inches of rainfall is possible across southeast Georgia through Tuesday night, which may aggravate any ongoing flooding conditions across that vicinity. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Debby, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero. For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS4 with the WMO header ACUS44 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc4.html. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible over portions of coastal South Carolina and North Carolina this afternoon through Wednesday morning. SURF: Large swells will continue to affect the Southeast U.S. coast through the end of the week. These conditions are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE AUG 06 2024 000 FONT14 KNHC 062044 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042024 2100 UTC TUE AUG 06 2024 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) RALEIGH NC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 10(12) 5(17) X(17) X(17) ROCKY MT NC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) CAPE HATTERAS 34 1 5( 6) 5(11) 5(16) 1(17) 1(18) X(18) FAYETTEVILLE 34 1 2( 3) 5( 8) 19(27) 3(30) X(30) X(30) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) CHERRY PT NC 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 5(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) NEW RIVER NC 34 4 13(17) 10(27) 7(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) MOREHEAD CITY 34 5 16(21) 10(31) 8(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) SURF CITY NC 34 15 25(40) 14(54) 9(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) WILMINGTON NC 34 4 16(20) 13(33) 9(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) BALD HEAD ISL 34 53 19(72) 8(80) 3(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X 4( 4) 5( 9) 5(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FLORENCE SC 34 3 5( 8) 9(17) 15(32) 2(34) X(34) X(34) COLUMBIA SC 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 10(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) LITTLE RIVER 34 62 15(77) 6(83) 4(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) LITTLE RIVER 50 X 6( 6) 6(12) 6(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MYRTLE BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MYRTLE BEACH 50 1 6( 7) 7(14) 6(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GEORGETOWN SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GEORGETOWN SC 50 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CHARLESTON SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHARLESTON SC 50 3 6( 9) 4(13) 3(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) CHARLESTON SC 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAVANNAH GA 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) KINGS BAY GA 34 3 3( 6) 4(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) MAYPORT NS FL 34 3 3( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) COCOA BEACH FL 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PATRICK AFB 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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