News aggregator
Biden’s Lackluster Speech Is a Reminder That He Couldn’t Win
The country’s spirit has moved on.
Categories: News
Ohio St. puts 4 on preseason All-America 1st unit
Safety Caleb Downs and three of his Ohio State teammates were selected for the preseason Associated Press All-America first team. The second-ranked Buckeyes placed six players overall on the All-America teams.
Categories: Sports
Ravens: Andrews still out post-crash, will be 'fine'
Baltimore Ravens tight end Mark Andrews is dealing with a "very minor thing" that has kept him out of practice since being involved in a serious car accident on Wednesday, coach John Harbaugh said Monday.
Categories: Sports
Preseason Power Rankings: Top 25 heading into the season
Our ESPN college football experts rank who should be in the top 25 going into Week 0.
Categories: Sports
Global Trade Needs a China Alternative. India Needs Better Ports.
Efforts to build new ports and expand existing docks could determine whether India emerges as a legitimate option for global factory production.
Categories: News
They Ran a Campaign in Hiding. Now They Wait.
The campaign officials for Venezuela’s opposition have sheltered in an Argentine diplomatic residence in Caracas for five months, watching the country’s turmoil from asylum.
Categories: News
Mexico’s Judges Vote to Strike, Opposing Overhaul of Legal System
President Andrés Manuel López Obrador wants judges elected, not appointed. Court workers have already walked out to protest his plan, which critics call a power grab.
Categories: News
Democrats and Labor Still Need Each Other
The Democratic Party’s future is tied to an economy that works not only for businesses, but for workers.
Categories: News
Steve Kerr Cheers on Harris and Walz, a Fellow Coach
The Golden State Warriors coach, well known for his liberal views, wove plenty of sports references into his paean to the Democratic ticket. He also teased Tim Walz a bit.
Categories: News
Hillary Clinton Finally Passes the Torch
“Progress is possible,” Clinton said, “but not guaranteed.”
Categories: News
AOC, Once an Outsider, Takes Center Stage at DNC
In a prime-time speech, Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez gave a forceful endorsement of Kamala Harris, saying Ms. Harris was “for the working class, because she’s from the working class.”
Categories: News
Hurricane Ernesto Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 20 Aug 2024 02:33:30 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 20 Aug 2024 03:22:50 GMT
Categories: Weather
Hurricane Ernesto Forecast Discussion Number 34
Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Aug 19 2024
000
WTNT45 KNHC 200231
TCDAT5
Hurricane Ernesto Discussion Number 34
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052024
1100 PM AST Mon Aug 19 2024
Satellite imagery shows that the convective structure of Ernesto is
decaying due to increasing shear and passage over colder water,
with most of the remaining convection now in the northeastern
quadrant. However, Canadian radar shows the remaining convection
still has a good tropical cyclone banding pattern. Satellite
intensity estimates were mostly near 75 kt at 00Z, and based on the
loss of organization since that time the initial intensity is
decreased to 70 kt.
Ernesto should continue steady to rapid weakening due to shear and
cold water. The new intensity forecast has the cyclone losing its
remaining convection and becoming a post-tropical low by 24 h.
However, this could be generous, and the system could become
post-tropical at any time. After 24 h, Ernesto is going to become
involved with a large baroclinic low developing near Iceland, and
as this occurs it is likely to develop or merge with a frontal zone
to become extratropical. The system is expected to degenerate to a
trough on the south side of the larger low by 48 h.
The hurricane is now accelerating northeastward with the initial
motion of 050/30 kt. The strong flow between an approaching mid- to
upper-level trough over the eastern U.S. and a ridge over the
subtropical central Atlantic should cause the cyclone to accelerate
even more during the next 24 h, and a rapid east-northeastward
motion should continue as the baroclinic low becomes the
predominant steering influence. The NHC track forecast remains near
the middle of the tightly clustered models and has no significant
change since the previous advisory.
Key Messages:
1. The effects of swells generated by Ernesto on the coasts of
Bermuda, the northeast U.S., and Atlantic Canada should diminish
during the next day or so. Until then, beach goers should be aware
that there still could be a significant risk of life-threatening
surf and rip currents and should stay out of the water if advised by
lifeguards.
2. Ernesto will likely bring some wind, wave, and rain impacts to
portions of southeastern Newfoundland during the next several hours.
Breaking waves could bring the possibility of coastal flooding,
particularly along southwest-facing shorelines from Bunin east to
Avalon regions. For additional impact specific information, please
see statements issued by the Canadian Hurricane Centre.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 20/0300Z 45.7N 53.1W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 20/1200Z 48.0N 47.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 21/0000Z 50.6N 36.3W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
36H 21/1200Z 52.8N 24.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 22/0000Z...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
$$
Forecaster Beven
Categories: Weather
Hurricane Ernesto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 34
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE AUG 20 2024
000
FONT15 KNHC 200231
PWSAT5
HURRICANE ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024
0300 UTC TUE AUG 20 2024
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
45.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 88 X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Categories: Weather
Israel Accepts Proposal to Bridge Differences on Cease-Fire, Blinken Says
The statement by the secretary of state put new pressure on Hamas, whose officials have called the proposal fundamentally slanted toward Israel.
Categories: News
Summary for Hurricane Ernesto (AT5/AL052024)
...DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS CONTINUING ALONG THE NORTHEAST U.S. COAST AND ATLANTIC CANADA... ...ERNESTO PASSING SOUTH OF SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND...
As of 11:00 PM AST Mon Aug 19
the center of Ernesto was located near 45.7, -53.1
with movement NE at 35 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 973 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.
Categories: Weather
Hurricane Ernesto Public Advisory Number 34
Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Aug 19 2024
000
WTNT35 KNHC 200230
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Hurricane Ernesto Advisory Number 34
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052024
1100 PM AST Mon Aug 19 2024
...DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS CONTINUING ALONG THE NORTHEAST
U.S. COAST AND ATLANTIC CANADA...
...ERNESTO PASSING SOUTH OF SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...45.7N 53.1W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM S OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 35 MPH...56 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in southeastern Newfoundland should monitor the progress
of Ernesto until the center moves into the open Atlantic.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ernesto was
located near latitude 45.7 North, longitude 53.1 West. Ernesto is
moving toward the northeast near 35 mph (56 km/h). An even faster
motion to the northeast or east-northeast is expected during the
next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Ernesto
is currently near its closest approach to Newfoundland, and it
should move into the open Atlantic on Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are now near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Steady to rapid weakening is forecast, and Ernesto is
expected to become a post-tropical cyclone Tuesday or Tuesday night.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 220 miles
(350 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 973 mb (28.74 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Ernesto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.
SURF: Swells generated by Ernesto are affecting Bermuda, the
northeast coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. The
swells and the associated life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions should gradually subside during the next day or so. In
southeastern Newfoundland large breaking waves could bring the
possibility of coastal flooding, particularly along southwest-facing
shorelines from Burin east to Avalon regions. Please consult
products from your local weather office, and stay out of the water
if advised by lifeguards.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Categories: Weather
Hurricane Ernesto Forecast Advisory Number 34
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE AUG 20 2024
000
WTNT25 KNHC 200230
TCMAT5
HURRICANE ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024
0300 UTC TUE AUG 20 2024
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.7N 53.1W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 30 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 80SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 190SE 140SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 330SE 300SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.7N 53.1W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.8N 55.0W
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 48.0N 47.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 20NW.
34 KT...150NE 190SE 160SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 50.6N 36.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 200SE 160SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 52.8N 24.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 210SE 160SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 45.7N 53.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Categories: Weather
Iran Is to Blame for Hacking Into Trump’s Campaign, Intelligence Officials Say
American intelligence agencies also confirmed that the effort extended to the Biden-Harris campaign, though that bid was unsuccessful.
Categories: News
Jason Isbell Offers Democrats a Way to Connect With a New Audience
The Southern white, working man’s musician performs at the Democratic convention and lets loose on the state of politics in an interview.
Categories: News