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Issued at 800 AM EDT Mon Aug 05 2024 824 WTNT34 KNHC 051154 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Hurricane Debby Intermediate Advisory Number 12A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042024 800 AM EDT Mon Aug 05 2024 ...DEBBY JUST INLAND IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION... ...EXPECTED TO BRING MAJOR FLOODING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.9N 83.4W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NNW OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Storm Surge Watch from the middle of Longboat Key to Englewood Florida has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Florida coast from the middle of Longboat Key northward to Indian Pass including Tampa Bay * Georgia and South Carolina coast from the Mouth of the St. Mary's River to South Santee River South Carolina A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Florida coast from the Yankeetown to Indian Pass A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Florida coast south of Yankeetown to Boca Grande * Florida coast from west of Indian Pass to Mexico Beach * St. Augustine to South Santee River South Carolina A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. Interests elsewhere along the southeastern coast of the United States should monitor the progress of this system. Additional watches and warnings will likely be required later today. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Debby was located near latitude 29.9 North, longitude 83.4 West. Debby is moving toward the north-northeast near 10 mph (17 km/h). A gradual decrease in forward speed with a turn toward the northeast and east is expected later today and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center will slowly across northern Florida and southern Georgia today and Tuesday, and be near the Georgia coast by Tuesday night. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected as Debby moves over land today and tonight. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). A wind gust to 62 mph (100 km/h) was reported at Madison County High School within the last hour. The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Debby can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area for the next few hours. Tropical storm conditions will continue over portions of the tropical storm warning area along the Florida Gulf coast through the morning, and begin along portions of the tropical storm warning area along the Atlantic coast by this evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected along the coast of South Carolina within the tropical storm warning area by late tonight. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Yankeetown, FL to Aucilla River, FL...6-10 ft Chassahowitzka, FL to Yankeetown, FL...4-6 ft Aucilla River, FL to Ochlockonee River, FL...4-6 ft Ochlockonee River, FL to Indian Pass, FL...3-5 ft Middle of Longboat Key, FL to Chassahowitzka, FL...3-5 ft Tampa Bay...3-5 ft Mouth of the St. Mary's River to South Santee River, SC...2-4 ft For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?peakSurge. RAINFALL: Debby is expected to produce rainfall totals of 6 to 12 inches, with maximum amounts of 18 inches, across portions of central and northern Florida as well as central and northeast North Carolina through Saturday morning. This rainfall will likely result in areas of considerable flash and urban flooding, with significant river flooding expected. Across portions of southeast Georgia, the coastal plain of South Carolina, and southeast North Carolina, 10 to 20 inches of rainfall, with local amounts to 30 inches, are expected through Saturday morning. This potentially historic rainfall will likely result in areas of catastrophic flooding. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Hurricane Debby, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero. For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS4 with the WMO header ACUS44 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc4.html. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible over central and northern Florida and southeastern Georgia today. The threat will spread northeastward into parts of South Carolina later today and tonight. SURF: Swells generated by Debby are expected to affect much of the Gulf coast of Florida through tonight. Swells will begin to affect the Southeast U.S. coast later today and continue through the middle of the week. These conditions are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. Since Debby is inland and its Radar appearance has degraded, NHC has stopped issuing hourly position updates. $$ Forecaster Pasch/D. Zelinsky

Forecasters are warning of serious flooding across the Southeast this week as the storm moves along the coast.

000
ABNT20 KNHC 051128
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Aug 5 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Debby, centered inland near the Florida Big Bend.

East of the Windward Islands:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
near the Windward Islands have decreased and become less organized
since yesterday. Any development of this system should be slow to
occur during the next couple of days while the system moves westward
over the eastern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions are
expected to become more conducive for development later this week as
the system moves across the western Caribbean Sea or the southern
Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky

Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina resigned after a month of student-led protests that started as a peaceful movement and then pitted demonstrators and the police in deadly clashes.

...DEBBY MOVING OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA... ...SEVERE FLOODING EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS... As of 2:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 5 the center of Debby was located near 30.4, -83.1 with movement NNE at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 990 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

Issued at 700 AM EDT Mon Aug 05 2024 000 WTNT64 KNHC 051056 TCUAT4 Hurricane Debby Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042024 700 AM EDT Mon Aug 05 2024 ...DEBBY MAKES LANDFALL NEAR STEINHATCHEE FLORIDA... ...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE IN PORTIONS OF FLORIDA AND MAJOR FLOODING IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES... Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft observations and Doppler radar images from Tallahassee indicate that the center of Hurricane Debby has made landfall around 700 AM EDT (1100 UTC) near Steinhatchee, Florida in the Florida Big Bend. Data from the Hurricane Hunters indicate that the minimum pressure at landfall was around 979 mb (28.91 in) and the maximum winds were estimated to be around 80 mph (130 km/h). SUMMARY OF 700 AM EDT...1100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.7N 83.5W ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM W of STEINHATCHEE FLORIDA ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SE OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky/Pasch

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Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Mon, 05 Aug 2024 10:36:17 GMT

...DEBBY VERY NEAR LANDFALL IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE IN PORTIONS OF FLORIDA AND MAJOR FLOODING IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES... As of 6:00 AM EDT Mon Aug 5 the center of Debby was located near 29.6, -83.7 with movement NNE at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 979 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.

Issued at 600 AM EDT Mon Aug 05 2024 000 WTNT64 KNHC 050953 TCUAT4 Hurricane Debby Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042024 600 AM EDT Mon Aug 05 2024 ...DEBBY VERY NEAR LANDFALL IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE IN PORTIONS OF FLORIDA AND MAJOR FLOODING IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES... Doppler radar images from Tallahassee indicate that Debby is close to making landfall in the Florida Big Bend region. The northern and eastern portions of the eyewall are already onshore and the hurricane will be making landfall later this morning. Data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters indicate that the minimum pressure is around 979 mb (28.91 in) and the maximum winds are still estimated to be around 80 mph (130 km/h). A National Ocean Service Tide station in Cedar Key recently reported a water level of 4.6 ft above Mean Higher High Water. Tropical Cyclone Updates will continue through landfall. SUMMARY OF 600 AM EDT...1000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.6N 83.7W ABOUT 60 MI...80 KM NW OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SSE OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Alaka

Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics last updated Mon, 05 Aug 2024 09:51:39 GMT