000
ABNT20 KNHC 051745
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Sep 5 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northwest Gulf of Mexico:
A large area of showers and thunderstorms continue in association
with a broad area of low pressure interacting with a weak frontal
boundary located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Upper-level
winds are expected to become less conducive for development by late
Friday and Saturday as another frontal boundary approaches the
system. Although development is unlikely, heavy rainfall is
expected across portions of the northern Gulf Coast during the next
day or so. Additional information on this system can be found in
products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast
Office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Northwestern Atlantic (AL99):
Showers and thunderstorms have become better organized in
association with a non-tropical area of low pressure located a few
hundred miles east of North Carolina, and recent satellite data
indicates the system is producing winds to near gale-force. This
system could acquire some tropical or subtropical characteristics
over the next day or two while it moves generally
north-northeastward, remaining offshore of the northeastern United
States. Once the low moves over cooler waters by early Saturday,
further development is not expected. Additional information on this
system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
An elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical
Atlantic is producing limited shower activity. Development is not
expected through this weekend while the system moves little. Some
slow development appears possible early next week when the
disturbance begins moving slowly northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized in
association with a westward-moving tropical wave located over the
western Caribbean Sea. Development is not expected before the
system reaches Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula by early Friday.
Some gradual development is possible late in the weekend into early
next week after the system emerges over the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
Another tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the
Leeward Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm
activity. Strong upper-level winds are expected to inhibit
development of this system during the next few days while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By early next week,
environmental conditions could become more conducive for some slow
development while the system moves over the southwestern Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online
at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Delgado

000
ABNT20 KNHC 051152
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Sep 5 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northwest Gulf of Mexico:
A trough of low pressure is producing widespread disorganized
showers and thunderstorms across the northwestern Gulf of Mexico,
including near the coasts of Louisiana and Texas. Upper-level
winds are expected to become less conducive for development by
Friday and Saturday as a frontal boundary approaches the system.
Although development is unlikely, heavy rainfall is expected
across portions of the northern Gulf Coast during the next day or
so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Northwestern Atlantic:
A non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east
of North Carolina is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms to the northeast and east of its center. This system
could acquire some subtropical characteristics over the next couple
of days while it moves generally north-northeastward, remaining
offshore of the northeastern United States. Once the low moves
over cooler waters by late Saturday, further subtropical development
is not expected. Additional information on this system, including
gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A broad area of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow
development of this system is possible during the next several days
while it drifts northwestward or northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased slightly in
association with a westward-moving tropical wave located over the
western Caribbean Sea. Significant development appears unlikely
before the system reaches Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula by early
Friday. Some development is possible late in the weekend into early
next week after the system emerges over the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
Another tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the
Leeward Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm
activity. Strong upper-level winds are expected to limit development
of this system during the next few days while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By early next week,
environmental conditions could become more conducive for some slow
development while the system moves west-northwestward over the
southwestern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online
at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Hagen

265
ABNT20 KNHC 050526
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Sep 5 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northwestern Atlantic:
A non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east
of North Carolina is producing limited shower and thunderstorm
activity well to the east of its center. This system could acquire
some subtropical characteristics over the next couple of days or so
while it moves generally north-northeastward, remaining offshore of
the northeastern United States. Once the low moves over cooler
waters by late Saturday, further subtropical development is not
expected. Additional information on this system, including gale
warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A broad area of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow
development of this system is possible during the next several days
while it drifts northwestward or northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave moving quickly westward at about 20 mph over the
western Caribbean Sea continues to produce a broad area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development is possible
in a few days after the system crosses the Yucatan Peninsula of
Mexico and moves over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
Another tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the
Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm
activity. Strong upper-level winds are expected to limit development
of this system during the next few days while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By early next week,
environmental conditions could become more conducive for some slow
development while the system moves northwestward over the
southwestern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online
at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

000
ABNT20 KNHC 042327
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Sep 4 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northwestern Atlantic:
A non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east
of North Carolina is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. This system could acquire some subtropical
characteristics over the next few days while it moves north-
northeastward, remaining offshore of the northeastern United States.
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave moving quickly westward at about 20 mph is producing
a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms across
portions of the west-central Caribbean Sea. Some development is
possible in a few days when the system moves over the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
Another tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the
Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm
activity. Development of this system, if any, is expected to be
slow to occur over the next couple of days while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions are
expected to become less favorable for additional development by the
end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A broad area of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow
development of this system is possible during the next several days
while it drifts northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online
at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Pasch

000
ABNT20 KNHC 041756
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Sep 4 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northwestern Atlantic:
A non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east
of North Carolina is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. This system could acquire some subtropical
characteristics over the next few days as it moves north-
northeastward, remaining offshore of the northeastern United States.
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave moving quickly westward at about 20 mph is producing
a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms across
portions of the central Caribbean Sea. Some development is possible
early next week when the system moves over the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
Another tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the
Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm
activity. Development of this system, if any, is expected to be
slow to occur over the next couple of days while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions are
expected to become less favorable for additional development by the
end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
An elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical
Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some
slow development of this system is possible during the next few days
while it drifts northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online
at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Hagen

000
ABNT20 KNHC 041151
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Sep 4 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave moving quickly westward at about 20 mph is
producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms
near southeastern Cuba, Jamaica, and across portions of the central
Caribbean Sea. Some development is possible late this week when the
wave slows down over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or early next
week over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
Another tropical wave located about 800 miles east of the Lesser
Antilles is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity.
Development of this system, if any, is expected to be slow to occur
over the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions are expected to become
unfavorable for additional development by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A third tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic is also
producing disorganized shower activity. Some slow development of
this system is possible during the next few days while it moves
slowly northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the eastern tropical
Atlantic Ocean. This system could produce locally heavy rains
across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

000
ABNT20 KNHC 040506
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Sep 4 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave moving quickly westward at about 20 mph is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms
over Hispaniola and portions of the central Caribbean Sea. Some
development is possible late this week when the wave slows down
over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or early next week over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
Another tropical wave located about 900 miles east of the Lesser
Antilles is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Development of this system, if any, is expected to be slow to occur
over the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions are expected to become
unfavorable for additional development by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A third tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic is also
producing disorganized shower activity. Some slow development of
this system is possible during the next few days while it moves
slowly northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the eastern tropical
Atlantic Ocean. This system could produce locally heavy rains
across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg

000
ABNT20 KNHC 032337
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Sep 3 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave moving quickly westward at about 20 mph is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms
over Hispaniola and portions of the central Caribbean Sea. Some
development is possible late this week when the wave slows down
over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or early next week over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
Another tropical wave located about a thousand miles east of the
Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Development of this system, if any, is expected to be slow to occur
over the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions are expected to become
unfavorable for additional development by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A third tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic is also
producing disorganized shower activity. Some slow development of
this system is possible during the next few days while it moves
slowly northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the eastern tropical
Atlantic Ocean. Environmental conditions are expected to become
less conducive for development by the end of the week. This system
could produce locally heavy rains across portions of the Cabo Verde
Islands overnight and on Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg

000
ABNT20 KNHC 031748
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Tue Sep 3 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Caribbean Sea:
A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
over Hispaniola and portions of the central Caribbean Sea. As this
system moves westward, some development is possible when it reaches
the western Caribbean Sea and the southwestern Gulf of Mexico late
this week or over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic is producing
disorganized shower activity. Some slow development of this system
is possible during the next few days as it moves west-northwestward
or northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
Environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive by
the end of the week. This system could produce locally heavy rains
and gusty winds across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands in a day
or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
Another tropical wave located about midway between the west coast
of Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Some slow development is possible during the
next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward. By
the end of the week, however, environmental conditions are expected
to become unfavorable for additional development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bann/Cangialosi/R. Zelinsky

000
ABNT20 KNHC 031153
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 3 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Caribbean Sea:
A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
over Hispaniola and portions of the central Caribbean Sea.
This system is expected to move westward, and a tropical depression
could form when it reaches the western Caribbean Sea and the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this week or over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
are forecast to become a little more conducive for development, and
a tropical depression could form later this week while the
disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward over
the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. This system could produce
locally heavy rains and gusty winds across portions of the Cabo
Verde Islands in a day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
Another tropical wave located about midway between the west coast
of Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Some slow development is possible during the
next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward. By
the end of the week, however, environmental conditions are expected
to become unfavorable for additional development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/R. Zelinsky

000
ABNT20 KNHC 030518
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Sep 3 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Caribbean Sea:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association
with a westward-moving tropical wave located over the eastern
Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions are expected to become
more conducive for development when the system reaches the western
Caribbean Sea and southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this week, and
over the weekend, and a tropical depression could form during that
time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
are forecast to become a little more conducive for development, and
a tropical depression could form in a few days while the disturbance
moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward over the eastern
tropical Atlantic Ocean. This system could produce locally heavy
rains and gusty winds across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands in
a day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

000
ABNT20 KNHC 022344
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Sep 2 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Caribbean Sea:
A westward-moving tropical wave is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms accompanied by locally heavy rainfall and strong
gusty winds over portions of the eastern Caribbean Sea and the
adjacent land areas. Environmental conditions are forecast to
become more conducive for development when the system reaches the
western Caribbean Sea and southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this week
and over the weekend, and a tropical depression could form during
that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
are forecast to become a little more conducive for development, and
a tropical depression could form in a few days while the disturbance
moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward over the eastern
tropical Atlantic Ocean. This system could produce locally heavy
rains and gusty winds across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands in
a day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

000
ABNT20 KNHC 021720
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Sep 2 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad and weak area of low pressure just offshore of the middle
Texas coast continues to produce some disorganized shower activity
along portions of the coast of Texas and over the adjacent waters of
the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. This system is expected to move
inland early Tuesday, and development is not expected. Regardless,
heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across portions of the
Texas coast during the next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
A tropical wave is producing disorganized thunderstorms and gusty
winds across portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico,
Hispaniola and over the adjacent waters. Environmental conditions
are forecast to become more conducive for development when the
system reaches the western Caribbean Sea and southwestern Gulf of
Mexico late this week and over the weekend, and a tropical
depression could form during that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
are forecast to become a little more conducive for development, and
a tropical depression could form in a few days while the disturbance
moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward over the eastern
tropical Atlantic Ocean. This system could produce areas of heavy
rain and gusty winds across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands in a
day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

000
ABNT20 KNHC 021136
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 2 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad and weak area of low pressure just offshore of the middle
Texas coast continues to produce some disorganized shower activity
along portions of the coast of Texas and over the adjacent waters of
the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. This system is expected to meander
for another day or so, and some slow development is possible if it
remains offshore. On Tuesday, the low is forecast to move inland,
and further development is not expected. Regardless, heavy rains
could cause some flash flooding across portions of the Texas coast
during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
A tropical wave is producing disorganized thunderstorms and gusty
winds across portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, and over
the adjacent eastern Caribbean waters. Environmental conditions are
forecast to become more conducive for development when the system
reaches the western Caribbean Sea and southwestern Gulf of Mexico
late this week and over the weekend, and a tropical depression could
form during that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave just offshore of the west coast of Africa is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for
development, and a tropical depression could form in a few days
while the disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward or
northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. This system
could produce areas of heavy rain and gusty winds across portions of
the Cabo Verde Islands in a day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

000
ABNT20 KNHC 020526
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Sep 2 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure just offshore of the upper Texas coast
continues to produce some disorganized shower activity near the
coast and over the adjacent waters of the northwestern Gulf of
Mexico. This system is expected to meander near the coast for the
next couple of days, and some slow development is possible if it
remains offshore. By Tuesday, the system is forecast to move inland,
and further development is not expected. Regardless, heavy rains
could cause some flash flooding across portions of the Texas coast
during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in
association with a tropical wave located near the Lesser Antilles.
The disturbance is expected to move westward and cross the
eastern Caribbean Sea through Tuesday with little development.
Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for
development while the system moves across the central and western
Caribbean Sea during the middle and latter parts of the week, and a
tropical depression could form during that time. This system could
cause gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall over portions of the
Lesser Antilles today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave along the west coast of Africa is producing a large
area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are
forecast to gradually become more favorable for development, and a
tropical depression could form in a few days while the disturbance
moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward over the eastern
tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

000
ABNT20 KNHC 012316
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Sep 1 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure just offshore of the upper Texas coast
continues to produce some disorganized shower and thunderstorm
activity near the coasts of Texas and Louisiana and over the
adjacent waters of the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. This system is
expected to meander near the coast for the next couple of days, and
some slow development is possible if it remains offshore. By
Tuesday, the system is forecast to move inland, and further
development is not expected. Regardless, heavy rains could cause
some flash flooding across portions of coastal Louisiana and the
upper Texas coast during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in
association with a tropical wave located a couple of hundred
miles east of the Lesser Antilles. The disturbance is expected to
move westward and reach the Lesser Antilles on Monday, then
cross the eastern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development
while the system moves across the central and western Caribbean Sea
during the middle and latter parts of the week, and a tropical
depression could form during that time. Regardless of development,
this system could cause gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall over
portions of the Lesser Antilles tonight and Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave is forecast to move offshore of the west coast of
Africa by Monday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could
support some slow development of this system throughout the week
while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward over the
eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

000
ABNT20 KNHC 011732
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Sep 1 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure just offshore of the upper Texas coast
continues to produce some disorganized shower and thunderstorm
activity near the coasts of Texas and Louisiana and over the
adjacent waters of the northwestern Gulf. This system is expected to
meander near the coast for the next couple of days, and some slow
development is possible if it remains offshore. By Tuesday, the
system is forecast to move inland, and further development is not
expected. Regardless, heavy rains could cause some flash flooding
across portions of coastal Louisiana and the upper Texas coast
during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located several
hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles has changed little in
organization since yesterday. The disturbance is expected to move
westward and reach the Lesser Antilles on Monday, then cross the
eastern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday. Environmental conditions are
forecast to become more conducive for development while the system
moves across the central and western Caribbean Sea during the middle
and latter parts of the week, and a tropical depression could form
during that time. Regardless of development, this system could
result in some gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall over portions
of the Lesser Antilles on Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to move offshore by
Monday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some
slow development of this system throughout the week while it moves
slowly westward or west-northwestward over the eastern tropical
Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

762
ABNT20 KNHC 011143
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Sep 1 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure near the upper Texas coast continues to
produce some shower and thunderstorm activity along and just
offshore of the coasts of Texas and Louisiana. This system is
expected to linger near the coast for the next several days, and
some slow development is possible if it remains offshore. Regardless
of development, heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across
portions of coastal Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the
next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located several
hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles has changed little in
organization since yesterday. Some slow development is possible as
the disturbance moves westward and reaches the Lesser Antilles on
Monday. The wave is expected to move across the central and western
Caribbean Sea later this week, where conditions are forecast to
become more conducive for some development, and a tropical
depression could form during that time. Regardless of development,
this system could result in some gusty winds and locally heavy
rainfall over portions of the Lesser Antilles on Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to move offshore on
Monday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some slow
development throughout the week while the system moves slowly
westward or west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

353
ABNT20 KNHC 010538
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Sep 1 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure near the upper Texas coast is producing
limited shower activity along and just offshore of the coasts of
Texas and Louisiana. This system is expected to linger near the
coast through much of this week, and some slow development is
possible if it meanders offshore. Regardless of development, heavy
rains could cause some flash flooding across portions of coastal
Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located several
hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to show some
signs of organization. Slow development is possible as the
disturbance moves westward and reaches the Lesser Antilles on
Monday. Later this week, the wave is expected to move across the
central and western Caribbean Sea, where conditions will probably
become more conducive for some development, and a tropical
depression could form during that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to move offshore on
Monday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some
slow development throughout the week while the system moves slowly
westward or west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

000
ABNT20 KNHC 312338
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Aug 31 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure near the upper Texas coast is producing
some disorganized showers and thunderstorms along and just offshore
the coasts of Texas and Louisiana. This system is expected to linger
near the coast through much of next week, and some slow development
is possible if it meanders offshore. Regardless of development,
heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across portions of
coastal Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the next few
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located several
hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles has become a little
better organized since yesterday. Slow development is possible
as the disturbance moves westward and reaches the Lesser
Antilles on Monday. Later next week, the disturbance is expected
to move across the central and western Caribbean Sea, where
conditions could become more conducive for development, and a
tropical depression could form during that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven